With a nearly nonexistent monsoon this year, it shouldn't come as too surprising that drought numbers are back on the rise across Arizona. Currently, 3% of the state is now in exceptional drought, which is the highest drought classification. Extreme drought covers another 67% of the state.

This is the first time since January 2019 that exceptional drought has been in Arizona. And further analysis shows that using the Drought Severity and Coverage Index, these are the worst drought conditions Arizona has seen since July 2018.

So any relief in sight?

Unfortunately, there is no rain forecast in the near term. Looking longer-term, with La Nina conditions expected through the winter, the Climate Prediction Center has a 40-50% chance of having below-average rainfall this winter.

With very dry conditions around the state, be sure to use extreme caution with any open flames or activities that may create sparks as fire danger remains elevated.